Pao-Li CHANG (張寶莉)

 

Associate Dean (Research and Industry Engagement)

Associate Professor of Economics

School of Economics

Singapore Management University

90 Stamford Road, #05-042

Singapore 178903

 

Tel:         (65) 6828-0830

Fax:        (65) 6828-0833

E-mail:    plchang@smu.edu.sg

 

 

CV

 

Ph.D., Economics, University of Michigan, 2002.

A.M., Economics, University of Michigan, 1997.

A.B., Business Administration, National Taiwan University, 1994.

 

Bio:

Pao-Li is currently the Associate Dean (Research and Industry Engagement) and an Associate Professor of Economics at Singapore Management University (SMU), and a Fellow of the Asian Bureau of Finance and Economic Research (ABFER).  She graduated with a PhD in Economics from the University of Michigan.  Pao-Li has published in renowned journals such as International Economic Review, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Development Economics, Management Science, Econometrics Journal, and Mathematical Social Sciences.  She has served on the editorial board of: Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Economic Modelling, Taiwan Economic Review (National Taiwan University, Taiwan), Taipei Economic Inquiry (National Taipei University, Taiwan), Journal of Economic Integration, and Journal of International Trade & Economic Development.

 


Research areas:

     GATT/WTO institution and laws

     Political economy of trade policies

     Empirical analysis of trade and foreign direct investment

     Quantitative analysis of trade flows and welfare evaluations

     Effects of political institutions on FDI flows

     Impact of education systems on human capital composition and trade patterns

     Measurement of global value chain

     Effects of preference and demand shocks on trade flows

     Estimation of firm-level production function with spatial dependence

     Impacts of floods on firm-level micro performances

 

 

Journal Articles

1.      “Global Value Chains and the CPTPP,” The World Economy, 2022, 45(12), pp. 3780-3832. With Phuong T. B. Nguyen.

Article  Data & Programs  Working paper version

Working paper version: SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 12-2019. 

2.      “Good Names Beget Favors: The Impact of Country Image on Trade Flows and Welfare,” Management Science, 2022, 68(10), pp. 7065-7791. With Tomoki Fujii and Wei Jin.

Article  Data & Programs  Working paper version  Online Appendix

Working paper version: SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 03-2018. Circulated previously under the title “Does “America First'' Help America?  The Impact of Country Image on Exports and Welfare.”

3.      “Informal Institutions and Comparative Advantage of South-Based MNEs: Theory and Evidence,” Journal of Development Economics, January 2021, 148, Article 102566. With Yuting Chen.

Article  Online Appendix

4.      “The Optimal Degree of Reciprocity in Tariff Reduction,” East Asian Economic Review (by Korea Institute for International Economic Policy), 2020, 24(3), pp. 237-252.

Article  Working paper version

5.      “Made in Singapore,” Singapore Economic Review, 2022, 67(06), pp. 1835-1904. With Phuong T. B. Nguyen.

Article  Working paper version

6.      “Geography, Trade and Power-Law Phenomena,” Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance, January 2020. Oxford University Press. With Wen-Tai Hsu.

Article  Working paper version

7.      “Trade and Divergence in Education Systems,” International Economic Review, November 2014, 55(4): 1251–1280. With Fali Huang (SMU).

Article  Technical Appendix

8.      “Risk and the Technology Content of FDI: A Dynamic Model,” Journal of International Economics, March 2012, 86(2): 306–317. With Chia-Hui Lu (City University of Hong Kong).

Article  Working paper version

9.      “The WTO Trade Effect,” Journal of International Economics, September 2011, 85(1): 5371. With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).

Article  Data & Programs  Working paper version

10.   “Estimation of Impulse Response Functions Using Long Autoregression,” Econometrics Journal, July 2007, 10(2): 453–469. With Shinichi Sakata (University of British Columbia).

Article

11.    “Avoiding Arbitrary Exclusion Restrictions Using Ratios of Reduced-Form Estimates,” Empirical Economics, 2007, 33: 339–357. With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).

Article

12.   “L S Penrose's limit theorem: Tests by simulation,” Mathematical Social Sciences, January 2006, 51(1): 90–106. With Vincent C.H. Chua (SMU) and Moshé Machover (LSE).

Article

13.   “Protection for sale under monopolistic competition,” Journal of International Economics, July 2005, 66(2): 509–526.

Article

14.   “How accurate are confidence intervals for impulse responses in large VAR models?” Economics Letters, December 2000, 69(3): 299–307. With Lutz Kilian (University of Michigan).

Article

 

Chapters in Books

1.      “Singapore in the Global Value Chains,” with Phuong T. B. Nguyen, in The Singapore Economy: Dynamism and Inclusion, Hian Teck Hoon (ed), Routledge, 2021.

Article  Working paper version

Working paper version: SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 1-2020.

2.      “The Evolution and Utilization of the GATT/WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism,” in Trade Disputes and the Dispute Settlement Understanding of The WTO, James C. Hartigan (ed), Emerald, 2009.

3.      “Trade, FDI, and Regional Competition: The Case of Singapore,” in The Economic Prospects of Singapore, Winston T.H. Koh and Robert S. Mariano (eds), Singapore: Addison Wesley, 2005.

 

Working Papers (contact me for the latest version)

1.      “Estimating Firm-Level Production Functions with Spatial Dependence in Output, Input, and Productivity,” with Ryo Makioka, Bo Lin Ng, and Zhenlin Yang. June 2024. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. xx-2024. Under revision.

1.      “The Balance of Concessions in Trade Agreements,” with Mostafa Beshkar and Shenxi Song, June 2024. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2024. Under review.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2753)

Previous version: Chapter 1 in Shenxi’s PhD dissertation. Circulated previously under the title “The Balance of Concessions in the World Trade Organization.”

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/etd_coll/411/)

2.      “The Depth of Preferential Trade Agreements,” with Kefang Yao and Wei Jin, December 2023. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 01-2024.   Revision requested by IMF Economic Review.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2722/)

3.      “Using Satellite-observed Geospatial Inundation Data to Identify the Impacts of Flood on Firm-level Performances: The Case of China during 2000–2009”, with Fan Zheng, October 2023. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 01-2023.    Under review.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2653/)

4.     The GATT/WTO Welfare Effects: 1950-2015,” with Wei Jin and Kefang Yao, November 2022. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 02-2018 (update No. 04-2022).    Under revision. (https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/1957/)   

5.      Disentangling the Effects of GATT/WTO on Variable and Fixed Trade Costs: Trade Status, Trade Margins, and Export Sales Distribution,” with Renjing Chen and Wei Jin, Oct 2022. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2022.    Under revision. (https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2612/)   

6.      “Labor Market Participation, Income Distribution, and Welfare Gains from Trade,” with Yi-Fan Chen and Wen-Tai Hsu, August 2022. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 06-2022.    Under review.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2614/)

7.      “Labor Market Implications of Taiwan’s Accession to the WTO: A Dynamic Quantitative Analysis,” with Yi-Fan Chen and Wen-Tai Hsu. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 07-2022.    Under revision.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2613/)

8.      “The Missing Middle in Product Price Distribution,” with Xin Yi and Haeyeon Yoon, January 2022. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2021. Also available at SSRN.    Under revision.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_working_paper/7/)

(https://ssrn.com/abstract=3889907)

9.      “The Response of the Chinese Economy to the U.S.-China Trade War: 2018-2019,” with Kefang Yao and Fan Zheng. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 25-2020.    Under review.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2415/)

10.   “The Potential Impacts of COVID-19 on the Global Value Chains: GVC Positioning and Linkages,” with Gerald Foong. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 24-2020.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2411/)

11.   “Quantifying Quality Specialization Across Space: Skills, Sorting, and Agglomeration,” with Angdi Lu and Xin Yi, January 2020. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 2-2020.

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2341/)

12.   “Cultural Preferences in International Trade: Evidence from the Globalization of Korean Pop Culture,” with Iona Hyojung Lee, November 2018. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2018.   

(https://ink.library.smu.edu.sg/soe_research/2142/)

 

Work in Progress

1.      “Impacts of Global Value Chains on Singapore’s Firm-level Employment and Productivity,” with Bo Lin Ng.

2.      “Decomposing the Welfare Effects of Deep Trade Agreements: A Synthetic Control Method,” with Kefang Yao.

 

Media Contributions and Citations

1.      “How Covid-19 Could Transform the Global Economy,” SMU Engage: Thought Leadership, 21 April 2020

https://engage.smu.edu.sg/how-covid-19-could-transform-global-economy.

1.      “Singapore in the Global Value Chains,” The Business Times, Date: 18 March 2020

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/hub-projects/tackling-societal-challenges/singapore-in-the-global-value-chains.

2.      “When Firms Turn Weakness into Strength,” Asian Scientist Magazine , September 2019 https://www.asianscientist.com/2019/09/features/investments-singapore-china-government/.

3.     “The Intersection of Education and Trade,” Asian Scientist Magazine , December 2013 https://www.asianscientist.com/2013/12/features/smu-professor-huang-fali-chang-pao-li-2013/. With Fali Huang.


Latest update 8/19/2024