Pao-Li CHANG (張寶莉)

 

Associate Professor

School of Economics

Singapore Management University

90 Stamford Road, #05-042

Singapore 178903

 

Tel:         (65) 6828-0830

Fax:        (65) 6828-0833

E-mail:    plchang@smu.edu.sg

 

 

CV

 

Ph.D., Economics, University of Michigan, 2002.

A.M., Economics, University of Michigan, 1997.

A.B., Business Administration, National Taiwan University, 1994.

 

Bio:

Pao-Li is currently an Associate Professor of Economics at Singapore Management University (SMU); an Associate Editor for Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Economic Modelling; and serves on the Editorial Board of Taiwan Economic Review (National Taiwan University, Taiwan) and Taipei Economic Inquiry (National Taipei University, Taiwan).  She is also a Fellow of the Asian Bureau of Finance and Economic Research (ABFER) and a Lee Kong Chian Fellow.  She graduated with a PhD in Economics from the University of Michigan.  Pao-Li has published in renowned journals such as International Economic Review, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Development Economics, Econometrics Journal, and Mathematical Social Sciences.  She has also worked as a consultant for the United Nations Secretariat and the Boston Consulting Group on trade-related projects, and served as referees for many well-known economics journals. She was awarded research excellence and teaching excellence awards from SMU.

 

She is a Taiwanese, married to a Japanese economist, with three daughters (who play piano, violin, and cello).

 


Research areas:

     GATT/WTO institution and laws

     Political economy of trade agreements

     Empirical analysis of trade and foreign direct investment

     Quantitative analysis of trade flows and welfare evaluations

     Effects of political institutions on FDI flows

     Impact of education systems on human capital composition and trade patterns

     Measurement of global value chain

     Effects of preference and demand shocks on trade flows   

 

 

Journal Articles

1.      “The Optimal Degree of Reciprocity in Tariff Reduction,” East Asian Economic Review (by Korea Institute for International Economic Policy) forthcoming, 2020.

2.      “Informal Institutions and Comparative Advantage of South-Based MNEs: Theory and Evidence,” Journal of Development Economics forthcoming, 2020. With Yuting Chen.

3.      “Made in Singapore,” Singapore Economic Review forthcoming, 2020. With Phuong T. B. Nguyen.

4.      “Geography, Trade and Power-Law Phenomena,” Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance, Jan 2020. Oxford University Press. With Wen-Tai Hsu.

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.296

5.      “Trade and Divergence in Education Systems,” International Economic Review, November 2014, 55(4): 1251–1280. With Fali Huang (SMU).

Article  Technical Appendix

6.      “Risk and the Technology Content of FDI: A Dynamic Model,” Journal of International Economics, March 2012, 86(2): 306–317. With Chia-Hui Lu (City University of Hong Kong).

Article  Working paper version

7.      “The WTO Trade Effect,” Journal of International Economics, September 2011, 85(1): 5371. With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).

Article  Data & Programs  Working paper version

8.      “Estimation of Impulse Response Functions Using Long Autoregression,” Econometrics Journal, July 2007, 10(2): 453–469. With Shinichi Sakata (University of British Columbia).

Article

9.       “Avoiding Arbitrary Exclusion Restrictions Using Ratios of Reduced-Form Estimates,” Empirical Economics, 2007, 33: 339–357. With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).

Article

10.   “L S Penrose's limit theorem: Tests by simulation,” Mathematical Social Sciences, January 2006, 51(1): 90–106. With Vincent C.H. Chua (SMU) and Moshé Machover (LSE).

Article

11.   “Protection for sale under monopolistic competition,” Journal of International Economics, July 2005, 66(2): 509–526.

Article

12.   “How accurate are confidence intervals for impulse responses in large VAR models?” Economics Letters, December 2000, 69(3): 299–307. With Lutz Kilian (University of Michigan).

Article

 

Chapters in Books

1.      “The Evolution and Utilization of the GATT/WTO Dispute Settlement Mechanism,” in Trade Disputes and the Dispute Settlement Understanding of The WTO, James C. Hartigan (ed), Emerald, 2009.

2.      “Trade, FDI, and Regional Competition: The Case of Singapore,” in The Economic Prospects of Singapore, Winston T.H. Koh and Robert S. Mariano (eds), Singapore: Addison Wesley, 2005.

 

Working Papers (contact me for the latest version)

1.      The GATT/WTO Welfare Effects: 1950-2015,” with Wei Jin and Kefang Yao, September 2018. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 02-2018.  Under revision.

2.      “Good Names Beget Favors: The Impact of Country Image on Trade Flows and Welfare” with Tomoki Fujii and Wei Jin, June 2018. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 03-2018. Circulated previously under the title “Does “America First'' Help America?  The Impact of Country Image on Exports and Welfare.”   2nd R&R for Management Science.

3.      “Cultural Preferences in International Trade: Evidence from the Globalization of Korean Pop Culture,” with Iona Hyojung Lee, November 2018. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2018.  R&R for European Economic Review.

4.      “Global Value Chains and the CPTPP,” with Phuong T. B. Nguyen, June 2019. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 12-2019.  R&R for The World Economy.

5.      “Singapore in the Global Value Chains,” with Phuong T. B. Nguyen, January 2020. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 1-2020. To be included as a chapter in the book, “The Singapore Economy: Designing Its Dynamism and Inclusion,” edited by Hian Teck Hoon.

6.      “Quantifying Quality Specialization Across Space: Skills, Sorting, and Agglomeration,” with Angdi Lu and Xin Yi, January 2020. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 2-2020.

 

Work in Progress

1.      The Impacts of GATT/WTO on Firm Dynamics: 1976-2015,” with Renjing Chen and Wei Jin.

2.      “The Effects of US-China Trade War on Chinese Imports and Welfare,” with Kefang Yao and Fan Zheng.

3.      “The Missing Middle in Product Quality Distribution,” with Haeyeon Yoon and Xin Yi.

4.      “The Depth of Preferential Trade Agreements,” with Kefang Yao and Wei Jin.

5.      “Decomposing the Welfare Effects of Deep Trade Agreements: A Synthetic Control Method,” with Kefang Yao.

6.      The Balance of Concessions in the World Trade Organization,” with Mostafa Beshkar, Ahmad Lashkaripour, and Shenxi Song.

7.      “Power Laws in Trade, Employment and Wages” with Joanne Tan and Yi-Fan Chen.

8.      “Trade Wars and Trade Talks with Global Value Chains,” with Xin Yi and Angdi Lu.

9.      “Entrepreneurship, Education System, and Trade Pattern,” with Alan Deardorff.

 

Media Contributions and Citations

1.      “The Intersection of Education and Trade,” Asian Scientist Magazine at: https://www.asianscientist.com/2013/12/features/smu-professor-huang-fali-chang-pao-li-2013/. With Fali Huang.

2.      “When Firms Turn Weakness Into Strength,” Asian Scientist Magazine at: https://www.asianscientist.com/2019/09/features/investments-singapore-china-government/.

3.      “Singapore in the global value chains,” The Business Times, Date: 18 March 2020 https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/hub-projects/tackling-societal-challenges/singapore-in-the-global-value-chains.

4.      “How Covid-19 could transform the global economy,” SMU Engage: Thought Leadership, 6 May 2020

https://engage.smu.edu.sg/how-covid-19-could-transform-global-economy.

 

JDE.zip

 

2020.8 Yumi Fujii plays Theme Video

 


Latest update 9/28/2020