Pao-Li
CHANG (張寶莉)
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Associate Professor of
Economics; Lee Kong Chian Fellow School of Economics Singapore Management
University 90 Stamford Road, #05-042 Singapore 178903 Tel: (65) 6828-0830 Fax: (65) 6828-0833 E-mail: plchang@smu.edu.sg |
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Ph.D., Economics, University of Michigan, 2002.
A.M., Economics, University of Michigan, 1997.
A.B., Business Administration, National Taiwan University, 1994.
Bio:
Pao-Li is currently an Associate Professor of Economics at Singapore
Management University (SMU); an Associate Editor for Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Economic Modelling; and serves on the Editorial Board of Taiwan
Economic Review (National Taiwan
University, Taiwan) and Taipei Economic Inquiry (National Taipei University, Taiwan). She is also a Fellow of the Asian Bureau of Finance and Economic Research (ABFER)
and a Lee Kong Chian Fellow. She graduated
with a PhD in Economics from the University of Michigan. Pao-Li has published in renowned journals
such as International Economic Review,
Journal of International Economics, Journal of Development Economics, Management Science, Econometrics Journal, and Mathematical Social Sciences. She has also worked as a consultant for the
United Nations Secretariat and the Boston Consulting Group on trade-related projects, and served as referees for many well-known
economics journals. She was awarded research excellence and teaching excellence
awards from SMU.
She is a Taiwanese, married to a Japanese economist, with three
daughters (who play piano, violin, and cello).
Research areas:
GATT/WTO institution and laws
Political economy of trade agreements
Empirical analysis of trade and foreign
direct investment
Quantitative analysis of trade flows and
welfare evaluations
Effects of political institutions on FDI
flows
Impact of education systems on human
capital composition and trade patterns
Measurement of global value chain
Effects of preference and demand shocks on
trade flows
Journal
Articles
1. “Global
Value Chains and the CPTPP,” The
World Economy, April 2022, accepted. With Phuong T. B. Nguyen.
Working paper version: SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 12-2019.
2. “Good Names Beget Favors: The Impact of Country Image on Trade Flows and
Welfare,” Management
Science,
February 2022. With Tomoki Fujii and Wei Jin. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2021.4250
Working paper version: SMU Economics and Statistics Working
Paper No. 03-2018. Circulated previously under the title “Does “America
First'' Help America? The Impact of
Country Image on Exports and Welfare.”
Data & Programs Working paper
version Online Appendix
3.
“Informal Institutions and Comparative Advantage of
South-Based MNEs: Theory and Evidence,” Journal of Development Economics, January 2021, 148, Article
102566. With Yuting Chen. (https://authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S0304-3878(20)30141-3)
4. “The Optimal Degree of Reciprocity in Tariff
Reduction,” East Asian Economic
Review (by Korea Institute for
International Economic Policy), 2020, 24(3), pp. 237-252. (https://dx.doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.EAER.2020.24.3.378)
5. “Made in Singapore,” Singapore Economic Review forthcoming, 2020. With Phuong T. B. Nguyen. (https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590820500150)
6. “Geography,
Trade and Power-Law Phenomena,” Oxford Research Encyclopedia
of Economics and Finance, Jan 2020. Oxford University Press. With Wen-Tai
Hsu. (http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190625979.013.296)
7. “Trade and
Divergence in Education Systems,” International Economic Review, November 2014, 55(4): 1251–1280. With
Fali Huang (SMU).
8. “Risk and the
Technology Content of FDI: A Dynamic Model,” Journal of International Economics, March 2012, 86(2): 306–317. With Chia-Hui Lu (City University of Hong
Kong).
9.
“The WTO Trade Effect,” Journal of International
Economics, September 2011, 85(1): 53–71.
With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).
Article Data &
Programs Working
paper version
10. “Estimation of
Impulse Response Functions Using Long Autoregression,” Econometrics Journal, July 2007, 10(2): 453–469. With Shinichi Sakata (University of British
Columbia).
11. “Avoiding Arbitrary Exclusion Restrictions
Using Ratios of Reduced-Form Estimates,” Empirical Economics, 2007,
33: 339–357. With Myoung-Jae Lee (Korea University).
12. “L S Penrose's
limit theorem: Tests by simulation,” Mathematical Social Sciences, January 2006, 51(1): 90–106. With Vincent C.H. Chua (SMU) and Moshé Machover (LSE).
13. “Protection for
sale under monopolistic competition,” Journal of International Economics, July 2005, 66(2): 509–526.
14. “How accurate are
confidence intervals for impulse responses in large VAR models?” Economics Letters, December 2000, 69(3): 299–307. With Lutz Kilian (University of
Michigan).
Chapters in Books
1. “Singapore in the Global Value Chains,” with Phuong T. B. Nguyen, in
The Singapore Economy: Dynamism and Inclusion, Hian Teck Hoon (ed),
Routledge, 2021. Earlier version in SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper
No. 1-2020. http://bit.ly/SingaporeEconomyDynamics
2. “The Evolution and Utilization of the GATT/WTO Dispute
Settlement Mechanism,” in Trade Disputes and the Dispute
Settlement Understanding of The WTO, James C.
Hartigan (ed), Emerald, 2009.
3.
“Trade, FDI, and
Regional Competition: The Case of Singapore,” in The Economic Prospects of Singapore, Winston T.H. Koh and Robert S. Mariano (eds), Singapore: Addison Wesley,
2005.
Working
Papers (contact me for the latest version)
1. “The GATT/WTO Welfare Effects: 1950-2015,” with Wei Jin and Kefang Yao, September 2018. SMU Economics and
Statistics Working Paper No. 02-2018. Under revision.
2.
“The Impacts of GATT/WTO on Firm-level Trade Structure: 1978-2015,” with Renjing Chen and Wei Jin. Under revision.
3. “The Response of the
Chinese Economy to the U.S.-China Trade War: 2018-2019,” with Kefang Yao and Fan
Zheng. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 25-2020. Under revision.
4. “The Missing Middle in Product
Quality Distribution,”
with Xin Yi and Haeyeon Yoon, July 2021. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3889907.
SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 05-2021. Under revision.
5. “Cultural Preferences in
International Trade: Evidence from the Globalization of Korean Pop Culture,” with
Iona Hyojung Lee, November 2018. SMU Economics and Statistics Working
Paper No. 05-2018. Under revision.
6. “The Potential Impacts of
COVID-19 on the Global Value Chains: GVC Positioning and Linkages,” with Gerald Foong. SMU Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 24-2020.
7.
“Quantifying Quality Specialization Across Space:
Skills, Sorting, and Agglomeration,” with Angdi Lu and Xin Yi, January 2020. SMU
Economics and Statistics Working Paper No. 2-2020.
Work in Progress
1. “Labor Participation, Wage Income
Inequality, and Heterogeneous Welfare Gains from Trade,” with Yi-Fan Chen and
Wen-Tai Hsu.
2. “Labor Market Implications of Taiwan's accession to the WTO: A Dynamic
Quantitative Analysis,” Pao-Li Chang, Yi-Fan Chen, Wen-Tai Hsu and Xin
Yi.
3.
“The Depth of Preferential Trade Agreements,” with Kefang
Yao and Wei Jin.
4. “Decomposing the Welfare
Effects of Deep Trade Agreements: A Synthetic Control Method,” with Kefang Yao.
5. “Estimating Firm-Level
Production Functions with Spatial Dependence in Output, Input, and Productivity,”
Pao-Li Chang, Ryo Makioka, Bo Lin Ng, and Zhenlin Yang.
6. “The
Balance of Concessions in the World Trade Organization,” with Mostafa Beshkar and Shenxi Song.
7. “Power Laws in Trade,
Employment and Wages” with Joanne Tan and Yi-Fan Chen.
8. “Trade Wars and Trade Talks
with Global Value Chains,” with Xin Yi and
Angdi Lu.
“Entrepreneurship,
Education System, and Trade Pattern,” with Alan Deardorff.
Media Contributions and Citations
1.
“The Intersection of Education and Trade,” Asian Scientist Magazine at: https://www.asianscientist.com/2013/12/features/smu-professor-huang-fali-chang-pao-li-2013/. With Fali Huang.
2.
“When Firms Turn Weakness Into Strength,” Asian Scientist Magazine at: https://www.asianscientist.com/2019/09/features/investments-singapore-china-government/.
3.
“Singapore in
the global value chains,” The Business Times, Date: 18 March 2020 https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/hub-projects/tackling-societal-challenges/singapore-in-the-global-value-chains.
4. “How Covid-19 could transform the global economy,” SMU Engage:
Thought Leadership, 6 May 2020
https://engage.smu.edu.sg/how-covid-19-could-transform-global-economy.
Latest update 4/18/2022